July 7, 2008
BASEBALL: Big Game Ollie
When I noted a while back the Mets' good performance against good teams (they are now 21-15 against teams over .500, and looked even better than that before the D-Backs dropped below the line), one of the chief contributors to that split personality has been Olver Perez, as has become even more pronounced with outstanding starts against the Yankees and Phillies, against whom he's a combined 3-0 with an 0.82 ERA in 5 starts. Here's Perez's line against winning vs. non-winning teams:
Winning (10 starts): 5-0, 2.74 ERA, 6.64 H, 1.01 HR, 3.75 BB, 8.09 K/9, 6.2 IP/Start
Losing (8 starts): 1-5, 7.97 ERA, 10.02 H, 2.31 HR, 7.20 BB, 6.69 K/9, 4.4 IP/Start
It's hard not to conclude from this, as from his performance in the 2006 NLCS, that Perez' problem in very large measure is his inability to focus on what he's doing when the pressure is off.
Ollie will not have a problem getting a contract. Not because of his last two starts; that won't hurt. But there hasn't been a team in baseball history that wouldn't bend over backwards for a lefty who can come close to the strike zone.
If you are right about Perez needing the pressure, than now is the time to make him a closer.
As a Pirate fan, I suffered thru the same "Ollie". Just when you give up on him, he pitches a 10K, 1 run game. Then when you think he is straightened out, he drops a 10 run bomb. The problem is all in his head.
By the way, thnaks for the X-man. He should have been selected for the All Star team.